Pre-tourney Rankings
Atlantic Sun
2014-15


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
134 North Florida 100.0%   16   20 - 11 12 - 2 20 - 11 12 - 2 +2.0      +1.0 134 +1.0 134 71.6 56 +0.8 152 +4.3 1
160 South Carolina Upstate 0.0%   19 - 11 8 - 6 19 - 11 8 - 6 0.0      0.0 160 0.0 160 63.4 258 -1.2 188 -5.1 3
175 Florida Gulf Coast 0.0%   19 - 10 11 - 3 19 - 10 11 - 3 -0.7      -0.4 175 -0.4 175 67.0 149 +1.6 143 +2.0 2
244 Northern Kentucky 0.0%   11 - 17 7 - 7 11 - 17 7 - 7 -4.7      -2.3 244 -2.3 244 64.5 220 -6.2 277 -6.3 5
294 Lipscomb 0.0%   11 - 17 7 - 7 11 - 17 7 - 7 -7.2      -3.6 294 -3.6 294 72.7 40 -5.8 267 -5.9 4
329 Jacksonville 0.0%   7 - 22 4 - 10 7 - 22 4 - 10 -12.1      -6.0 329 -6.0 329 64.5 219 -12.6 332 -11.4 7
333 Stetson 0.0%   6 - 22 3 - 11 6 - 22 3 - 11 -12.8      -6.4 333 -6.4 333 69.2 102 -13.6 337 -13.8 8
336 Kennesaw St. 0.0%   8 - 22 4 - 10 8 - 22 4 - 10 -13.0      -6.5 336 -6.5 336 70.4 79 -10.6 320 -11.2 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
North Florida 1.0 100.0
South Carolina Upstate 3.0 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast 2.0 100.0
Northern Kentucky 4.0 100.0
Lipscomb 4.0 100.0
Jacksonville 6.0 100.0
Stetson 8.0 100.0
Kennesaw St. 6.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
North Florida 12 - 2 100.0
South Carolina Upstate 8 - 6 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast 11 - 3 100.0
Northern Kentucky 7 - 7 100.0
Lipscomb 7 - 7 100.0
Jacksonville 4 - 10 100.0
Stetson 3 - 11 100.0
Kennesaw St. 4 - 10 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
North Florida 100.0% 100.0
South Carolina Upstate
Florida Gulf Coast
Northern Kentucky
Lipscomb
Jacksonville
Stetson
Kennesaw St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
North Florida 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.7 7.6 91.7
South Carolina Upstate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lipscomb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jacksonville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stetson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Kennesaw St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
North Florida 100.0% 67.1% 74.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lipscomb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stetson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kennesaw St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 74.6% 0.7 25.4 74.6
2nd Round 2.2% 0.0 97.8 2.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0